Dr.Martinez said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
True, and it depends on a baseline nobody has stated. Without knowing where someone started, the same number can be an excellent result or a disappointing one.
sophie_paris said:Agreed, with a caveat about community reputation: it is a lagging indicator.
This answered a question I did not know how to ask. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
Dr.Martinez said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. The objection nobody has made: this only works if the measurement is doing what we assume it is doing, and that assumption has not been tested here.
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