Dr.RenalNash said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.
amsterdam_pete said:International shipping tracking for cross-border ordering orders: my experience with customs in the US when ordering from overseas: Required FDA…
Bookmarking. The distinction being drawn above is the one nobody else makes. Adding it to my notes with a link back to this thread.
Dr.RenalNash said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
Worth saying that the confident version of this is more useful to the person writing it than to the person reading it.
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View ResultsThe figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.
Moderator note: good thread. Keeping it here rather than moving it, because the question is general enough to be useful. Tagging this one for the weekly digest.