BiostatsBrad said:

International shipping tracking for cross-border ordering orders: my experience with customs in the US when ordering from overseas: Seized and…

Coming at BiostatsBrad’s question from a different direction. Take it one variable at a time. Almost every unanswerable question in these threads is unanswerable because three things changed in the same fortnight, and no amount of subsequent argument can untangle them after the fact.

Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. For anyone reading later: the numbers in this thread are worth checking against a primary source before you act on them, including mine. Half the figures circulating in this community trace back to a secondary summary that dropped a qualifier.

That is the short version; the long version is somebody else's post.

Moderator note: leaving this open. It is being argued well and the disagreement is the useful part. Carry on.